Forecast Discussion - National Meteorological Service of Belize

SKIES  WERE    PARTLY CLOUDY  ACROSS THE COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON.   RADAR IMAGES  SHOWED INSIGNIFICANT RAINFALL .    WATER  VAPOR LOOP  SHOWED  DRY AIR ALOFT, WHILE  MIMIC SHOWED PWAT BETWEEN  25-35 MM.

AT UPPER LEVELS,  W'LY ZONAL FLOW DOMINATED.  THE PATTERN WAS NEUTRAL.  AT 700MB CONDITIONS WERE DRY  AND THE FLOW WAS NE'LY.  AT 850MB CONDITIONS WERE RELATIVELY MOIST  AND THE FLOW WAS NE'LY.  THE 18Z SURFACE CHART(NHC) SHOWED A TROUGH SOUTH OF CENTRAL CUBA. THIS SUPPORTED A  LIGHT NE'LY FLOW OVER THE WESTERNCARIBBEAN.  A 1021MB HIGH CENTER WAS OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULFOF MEXICO AND SUPPORTED A LIGHT NE'LY FLOW OVER THE GULF.   THE 00Z SOUNDING DATA SHOWED PWAT'S VALUE TO BE 27.35, KINX'S; 4.10 AND CAPE'S; 25.39.

DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS PERIOD, RIDGING  WILL MAINTAIN W'LY  WINDS AT 200MB AND  SUPPORT NW'LY WINDS AT 300MB .   THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN MOSTLY NEUTRAL TO WEAKLY CONVERGENT.   AT 700MB  MOISTURE  WILL INCREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TOMORROW, STARTING TOMORROW MORNING, THEN DRY OUT BY THE END OF THE CYCLE.    AT 850MB, MOISTURE WILL  FLUCTUATE AND THE   FLOW WILL PERSIST  FROM THE NORTHEAST. AT THE SURFACE, MOISTURE WILL INCREASE TEMPORARILY, AFFECTING MOSTLY THE SOUTH.

DURING THE 24-48 HRS PERIOD BOTH GFS AND NAM SHOW BETWEEN 0.0-.25IN/3HRS. 

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TONIGHT AND SUNNY WITH CLOUDY SPELLS TOMORROW. SHOWERS WILL BE ISOLATED TONIGHT INCREASING SLIGHTLY TOMORROW.
FOR TUES NIGHT AND WED IS FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS, EXCEPT FOR A FEW MORE OVER THE SOUTH.
Winds Seas Waves
Northeast | 5-10 kts Slight-Light Chop 1-3 ft

Forecaster: Wellington, Francisca

Last Updated: Mon, Mar 25, 2019 | 07:08 PM