Forecast Discussion - National Meteorological Service of Belize
  • Small craft caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas near showers and thunderstorms.
  • Localized flooding is likely for low lying areas and flood prone areas.
Tropical Weather Outlook
  • For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane Tips
  •  Fill sinks, bathtub and large containers with water as an extra supply for washing and flushing.
  •  During the hurricane season, fisher folks are strongly advised to stay informed via radio, listen to the weather bulletin before venturing out to sea. Move your boat to safe harbor early.
  •  Prepare your car in case of evacuation. Fill your tank and check your tires.
  •  Upon alert, farmers should harvest crops which can be stored, consumed and sold.

SKIES WERE OVERCAST ACROSS THE  COUNTRY  LAST NIGHT.  RADAR IMAGES SHOWED  RAIN WITH EMBEDDED HEAVIER SHOWERS  ACROSS  THE COUNTRY.  WATER VAPOR  LOOP SHOWED  DRY CONDITIONS  OVER THE WESTERN  GULF, MOST OF MEXICO, AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TO EASTERN CARIBBEAN BASIN. MOIST CONDITIONS WERE  OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN,  FROM YUCATAN, BELIZE TO FLORIDA AND OVER THE WESTERNAND SOUTHERN  CARIBBEAN BASIN. MOIST CONDITIONS WERE ALSO OVER  CENTRAL AMERICA. MIMIC SHOWED PWAT'S VALUE TO BE  ABOVE 60MM .

AT UPPER LEVELS, RIDGING  OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SUPPORTED S-SE'LY WINDS.   THE PATTERN WAS VERY UNSTABLE.  AT 700MB CONDITIONS WERE VERY MOIST AND A SE'LY FLOW PREVAILED. AT  850MB CONDITIONS WERE VERY MOIST AND A SE'LY FLOW PREVAILED. THE 06Z SURFACE CHART(NHC) SHOWED A TROPICAL WAVE  NEAR 90W, AND 53W. THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SUPPORTED LIGHT E'LY WINDS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN.  A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE IN MEXICO TO A 1013MB LOW CENTER  NEAR TALLAHASSEE.  THE 12Z SOUNDING DATA N/A. 

DURING THE NEXT 24-48HRS,  RIDGING ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN S-SE'LY WINDS.   THE  PATTERN WILL REMAIN  DIVERGENT.  AT 700MB MOISTURE WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND THE FLOW WILL BACK UP TO THENORTH EAST.  AT 850MB, MOISTURE WILL REMIAN HIGH AND  THE FLOW WILL  BACK UP TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST.  AT THE SURFACE,  THE FLOW WILL BACK UP TOTHE NE AS  A COLD FRONT  MOVES SOUTHWARD TO THE  BAY OF CAMPECHE BY THE END OF THE CYCLE. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF, ENHANCING A NE'LY FLOW OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN.

GFS SHOWS .01-2.0IN/3HRS DURING THE 48 HRS. NAM SHOWS SIMILAR AMOUNTS.

CLOUDY TO OVERCAST WITH SOME SHOWERS, PERIODS OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE COUNTRY, BUT ESPECIALLY OVER THE COAST AND NORTH.
TUES AND TUES NIGHT: CLOUDY TO OVERCAST WITH SOME SHOWERS, THUNDERSTORMS , AND SEVERAL PERIODS OF RAIN ACROSS THE COUNTRY BUT ESPECIALLY THE COAST AND THE SOUTH.
Winds Seas Waves
East-Northeast | 10-20 kts Moderate 4-6 ft

Forecaster: Wellington, Francisca

Last Updated: Mon, Oct 23, 2017 | 06:29 AM