Forecast Discussion - National Meteorological Service of Belize
Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane Tips
  •  Fill sinks, bathtub and large containers with water as an extra supply for washing and flushing.
  •  During the hurricane season, fisher folks are strongly advised to stay informed via radio, listen to the weather bulletin before venturing out to sea. Move your boat to safe harbor early.
  •  Prepare your car in case of evacuation. Fill your tank and check your tires.
  •  Upon alert, farmers should harvest crops which can be stored, consumed and sold.

RADAR OBS INDICATED A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTH AND ALONG THE COAST LASTNIGHT THEN MAINLY OVER THE SOUTH COAST AND SEA EARLY THIS MORNING. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTED THE MID-UPPER LEVELS REMAINED FAIRLY DRY OVER THE AREA. THE TPW IMAGE SHOWED SLIGHTLY MOIST CONDITIONS MOSTLY OFFSHORE. THE 12Z SOUNDING SHOWED A SLIGHTLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WITH PWAT 49.1MM, KINX 34.1, LIFT-0.97 AND CAPE 398.7.

THE 06Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A COLD FRONT EXTENDED OVER THE S'RN GULF OF MEXICO TO N'RN YUCATAN AND A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE E'RN CARIBBEAN SEA ALONG 67W. A LIGHT W-NW'LY SFC FLOW PREVAILED OVER OUR AREA WHILE LIGHT ESE'LY FLOW PREVAILED AT THE LOW LEVELS. BROAD RIDGING ALOFT CONTINUED TO SUPPORT SSW'LY FLOW AND THE PATTERN WAS NEUTRAL TO WEAKLY DIVERGENT.

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS OVER THE COUNTRY LATER TODAY AND GFS SUGGESTS THE FRONT SHOULD BE OVER S'RN BELIZE BY THIS EVENING. PRE-FRONTAL ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOSTLY OVER THE SEA/COAST THIS MORNING THEN NORTH AND INLAND THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT SOME SHOWERS, PERIODS OF RAIN ALONG WITH THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. SFC WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME GUSTY TONIGHT AND BACK TO THE NNW BY TOMORROW AND REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH FRIDAY. 

GFS SHOWS 0.25-0.50INS./3HRS MAINLY OVER THE SEA AND ALONG THE SOUTH COAST THIS MORNING THEN 0.10-0.25INS./3HRS MAINLY NORTH AND INLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH SOME RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL COAST TONIGHT. TOMORROW THE MODEL SHOWS LOW AMTS MOSTLY INLAND THEN LITTLE TO NONE TOMORROW NIGHT. 

CLOUDY AT TIMES TODAY WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY OVER THE SEA AND OVER SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS THIS MORNING THEN MAINLY NORTH AND INLAND THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDY TONIGHT WITH SOME SHOWERS, PERIODS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY NORTH AND ALONG COASTAL AREAS.
FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT IS FOR CLOUDY WINDY AND COOL CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT RAIN MOSTLY OVER THE SEA.
Winds Seas Waves
Northwest | 5-15 kts Light Chop 1-3 ft

Forecaster: Smith, Michelle

Last Updated: Wed, Nov 14, 2018 | 07:52 AM