Forecast Discussion - National Meteorological Service of Belize
Hurricane Tips
  •  Fill sinks, bathtub and large containers with water as an extra supply for washing and flushing.
  •  During the hurricane season, fisher folks are strongly advised to stay informed via radio, listen to the weather bulletin before venturing out to sea. Move your boat to safe harbor early.
  •  Prepare your car in case of evacuation. Fill your tank and check your tires.
  •  Upon alert, farmers should harvest crops which can be stored, consumed and sold.

RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY, ALONG WITH OBSERVATIONS, SHOWED THAT THUNDERSTORMS LASTED FROM EARLY AFTERNOON TO THIS EVENING (FROM ABOUT 21Z, ONWARD), WITHIN 50KM RADIUS FROM THE PGIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ALSO OCCURRED OVER EXTREME NORTHERN BZE, AND INLAND AREAS, MAINLY OVER THE N'RN HALF OF THE COUNTRY, THIS AFTERNOON; THEN, ISOLATED SHOWERS WERE SHOWN TO DEVELOP AND OCCUR OVER THE MAYA MTNS / S'RN BZE EARLY THIS EVENING. LATEST (00Z) SAT PWAT IMAGE SUGGESTED A VERY MOIST ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MUCH OF THE MOISTURE WOULD CONTINUE TO BE FROM THE LOW LEVS, AND WATER VAPOR SAT IMAGERY SHOWED HIGH LEV CLOUDS OVER THE AREA, SUGGESTING SOME MOISTURE AT THE UPER LEVS AS WELL. 

TODAY, AUTOMATIC WEATHER STATIONS SHOWED UP TO ABOUT HALF AN INCH OF RR OVER N'RN PARTS, INCLUDING RANCHITO (~14MM) AND SAN PEDRO (~15MM). BZE CITY RECORDED 9MM, PGIA ABOUT 6MM, BMP AND PLACENCIA CLOSE TO 4MM. AWS ALSO SUGGESTED MAX TEMP REACHED 100 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT IN TOWERHILL, FOLLOWED BY 98 IN PG, AND 96 IN BMP. 

NHC 18Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWED THE BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA WAS CENTERED NORTH OF BZE, OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AREA. THIS CONTINUED TO EXTEND A TROUGH OVER THESE AREAS AND OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. THE NORTH ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSUR RIDGE EXTENDED OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN, AND OVER MUCH OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE WERE ALSO NOTED OVER ALABAMA, GEORGIA STATES, WHILE A COLD FRONT WAS TO THE NORTH OF THESE STATES. WITH THE SFC TO LOW LEV CIRCULATION CENTERED NORTH OF BZE, THE WINDS VARIED TODAY, AND CONTINUED LIGHT. MEANWHILE, AT THE UPPER LEVS, A WEAKLY DIVERGENT PATTERN WAS OVER BZE, WITH STRONGER DIVERGENCE TO THE EAST WITH THE UPPER LEV TROUGH EXTENDING OVER THE W'RN CARIBBEAN, AND SLIGHT TROUGHING JUST EAST OF BZE. OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, HOWEVER, GFS SUGGESTS THAT THE PATTERN WILL BECOME LESS DIVERGENT, AND MORE CONVERGENT BY LATE TOMORROW. 

THE MODELS (GFS, NAM) SUGGEST A SIMILAR TREND IN RR COVERAGE OVER THE COUNTRY TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT, WITH THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO DRIFT FURTHER N'WARD; AND BY FRIDAY NOT DIRECTLY PROVIDING THE DYNAMICS OVER BZE FOR SIG RR, EXCEPT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH DAYTIME HEATING, ESPECIALLY INLAND / OVER THE MAYA MTNS. THEN, BY SATURDAY, NAM SUGGESTS A FEEDER BAND LIKE LINE OF PRECIP WITH THE SW QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION TO BE OVER BZE, AND COUPLED WITH A W-NW'LY SFC AIRFLOW TO ENHANCE LOW AMTS OF PRECIP SUGGESTED.  GFS SUGGESTS THIS TO BE EAST OF BZE ON SATURDAY.  

CLOUDY AT TIMES TONIGHT ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN, COASTAL AND SOME SOUTHERN AREAS. THEN, SUNNY WITH SOME CLOUDY SPELLS TOMORROW ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY OVER NORTHERN AND INLAND AREAS.
FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY IS FOR SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE.
Winds Seas Waves
East-Southeast | 5-15 kts Choppy 3-5 ft

Forecaster: Guy, Angelia

Last Updated: Wed, May 23, 2018 | 07:54 PM