Monthly Rainfall Forecast - National Meteorological Service of Belize
 January 2019 |  Print Report

Several agro-meteorological stations across the country are used to  produce monthly and seasonal rainfall and temperature forecast. This is done by using the  historical data observed at these stations,  global and regional climate models,  statistical models such as the Climate Predictability Tool (CPT) and Subjective inputs.  To produce monthly forecast, which are considered sub-seasonal forecasts, the forecast evolution of intra-seasonal oscillations such as the Madden-Julian Oscillation are paid special attention to.

Based on these inputs, the Rainfall Forecast for the country for the month of  January 2019 is for Below normal rainfall over most areas of the country with the exception of the Toledo District where rainfall is expected to be near normal during this month. Maximum/daytime temperatures and minimum/nighttime temperatures are expected to be slightly below normal during the month.

Rainfall amounts that are expected across key districts stations in January 2019 are as follows:

RegionStationRainfall Amount (mm)Category
NorthLibertad45-55Below Normal
NorthTower Hill50-60Below Normal
NorthRio Bravo45-55Below Normal
Central Inland AreasCentral Farm95-115Below Normal
Central Inland AreasBelmopan100-120Below Normal
Central Coastal AreasAirport110-130Below Normal
Mountainous AreasBaldy Beacon190-230Below Normal
SouthPomona130-150Below Normal
SouthSavannah125-145Near Normal
SouthPunta Gorda145-165Near Normal

The maps below show approximate rainfall totals that can be expected. The expected maximum and minimum temperatures are also shown. Users are advised that the amounts shown are only an approximation and are therefore cautioned not to focus on the exact value on the maps but instead to expect that the rainfall and temperature should be somewhere in that general range.

Disclaimer

The information is provided with the understanding that The National Meteorological Service makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

Forecaster: Gordon, Ronald

Last Updated: Thu, Jan 03, 2019 | 01:29 PM