Monthly Rainfall Forecast - National Meteorological Service of Belize
Tropical Weather Outlook
  • For the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane Tips
  •  Fill sinks, bathtub and large containers with water as an extra supply for washing and flushing.
  •  During the hurricane season, fisher folks are strongly advised to stay informed via radio, listen to the weather bulletin before venturing out to sea. Move your boat to safe harbor early.
  •  Prepare your car in case of evacuation. Fill your tank and check your tires.
  •  Upon alert, farmers should harvest crops which can be stored, consumed and sold.
 July 2018 |  Print Report

Several agro-meteorological stations across the country are used to  produce monthly and seasonal rainfall and temperature forecast. This is done by using the  historical data observed at these stations,  global and regional climate models,  statistical models such as the Climate Predictability Tool (CPT) and Subjective inputs.  To produce monthly forecast, which are considered subseasonal forecasts, the forecast evolution of intra-seasonal oscillations such as the Madden-Julian Oscillation are paid special attention to.

Based on these inputs, the Rainfall Forecast for the country for the month of  July 2018 is for normal to slightly above normal rainfall over southern areas and below normal rainfall for the rest of the country.   Rainfall may be as low as 20-30% below normal in the north. Maximum temperatures are expected to be slightly above normal while minimum temperatures are expected to be slightly below normal as compared to recent years.

Rainfall amounts that are expected across key districts stations in July 2018 are as follows:

RegionStationRainfall Amount (mm)Category
NorthLibertad115-135Below Normal
NorthTower Hill120-140Below Normal
NorthRio Bravo115-135Below Normal
Central Inland AreasCentral Farm120-140Below Normal
Central Inland AreasBelmopan260-300Below Normal
Central Coastal AreasAirport160-180Below Normal
Mountainous AreasBaldy Beacon240-280Below Normal
SouthPomona325-375Near Normal
SouthSavannah270-310Near Normal
SouthPunta Gorda770-870Near Normal

The maps below show approximate rainfall totals that can be expected. The expected maximum and minimum temperatures are also shown. Users are advised that the amounts shown are only an approximation and are therefore cautioned not to focus on the exact value on the maps but instead to expect that the rainfall and temperature should be somewhere in that general range.

Disclaimer

The information is provided with the understanding that The National Meteorological Service makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

Forecaster: Gordon, Ronald

Last Updated: Tue, Jul 17, 2018 | 10:19 AM