Several agro-meteorological stations across the country are used to produce monthly and seasonal rainfall and temperature forecast. This is done by using the historical data observed at these stations, global and regional climate models, statistical models such as the Climate Predictability Tool (CPT) and Subjective inputs.
Based on these inputs, the Rainfall Forecast for the country for the month of October 2017 is for above normal rainfall over most areas of the country, especially over northern Orange Walk District (Tower Hill area) and over the Toledo District.
Rainfall amounts that are expected across key districts stations in October 2017 are as follows:
|Region||Station||Rainfall Amount (mm)||Category|
|North||Libertad||175-225||Slightly Above Normal|
|North||Tower Hill||275-325||Above Normal|
|North||Rio Bravo||250-300||Above Normal|
|Central Inland Areas||Central Farm||250-300||Above Normal|
|Central Inland Areas||Belmopan||250-300||Above Normal|
|Central Coastal Areas||Airport||350-400||Above Normal|
|Mountainous Areas||Baldy Beacon||375-425||Above Normal|
|South||Punta Gorda||550-650||Above Normal|
The forecast is for Above Normal Average Temperatures to prevail over Belize and her coastal waters for the month of October 2017.
Average Daily Temperature values expected in October 2017 are as follows:
|District||Station||Mean Daily Temperature (°C)||Category|
|Orange Walk||Tower Hill||27.5||Above Normal|
|Orange Walk||Rio Bravo||26.7||Above Normal|
|Cayo||Central Farm||27.2||Above Normal|
|Cayo||Baldy Beacon||21.7||Above Normal|
|Stann Creek||Pomona||28.2||Above Normal|
|Toledo||Punta Gorda||27.3||Above Normal|
The rainfall and temperature forecast for October 2017 are summarized in the maps below with some approximate values that can be expected at some key stations across the country.
The information is provided with the understanding that The National Meteorological Service makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.
Forecaster: Gordon, Ronald
Last Updated: Wed, Oct 18, 2017 | 01:29 PM