Monthly Rainfall Forecast - National Meteorological Service of Belize
  • Small craft caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas near showers and thunderstorms.
  • Localized flooding is likely for low lying areas and flood prone areas.
Tropical Weather Outlook
  • For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane Tips
  •  Fill sinks, bathtub and large containers with water as an extra supply for washing and flushing.
  •  During the hurricane season, fisher folks are strongly advised to stay informed via radio, listen to the weather bulletin before venturing out to sea. Move your boat to safe harbor early.
  •  Prepare your car in case of evacuation. Fill your tank and check your tires.
  •  Upon alert, farmers should harvest crops which can be stored, consumed and sold.
 October 2017

Several agro-meteorological stations across the country are used to  produce monthly and seasonal rainfall and temperature forecast. This is done by using the  historical data observed at these stations,  global and regional climate models,  statistical models such as the Climate Predictability Tool (CPT) and Subjective inputs.

Based on these inputs, the Rainfall Forecast for the country for the month of  October 2017 is for above normal rainfall over most areas of the country, especially over northern Orange Walk District (Tower Hill area) and over the Toledo District.

Rainfall amounts that are expected across key districts stations in October 2017 are as follows:

RegionStationRainfall Amount (mm)Category
NorthLibertad175-225Slightly Above Normal
NorthTower Hill275-325Above Normal
NorthRio Bravo250-300Above Normal
Central Inland AreasCentral Farm250-300Above Normal
Central Inland AreasBelmopan250-300Above Normal
Central Coastal AreasAirport350-400Above Normal
Mountainous AreasBaldy Beacon375-425Above Normal
SouthPomona350-400Above Normal
SouthSavannah325-375Above Normal
SouthPunta Gorda550-650Above Normal

Temperature:
The forecast is for Above Normal Average Temperatures to prevail over Belize and her coastal waters for the month of  October 2017.

Average Daily Temperature values expected in October 2017 are as follows:

DistrictStationMean Daily Temperature (°C)Category
CorozalLibertad27.1Above Normal
Orange WalkTower Hill27.5Above Normal
Orange WalkRio Bravo26.7Above Normal
BelizeAirport27.5Above Normal
CayoCentral Farm27.2Above Normal
CayoBelmopan26.9Above Normal
CayoBaldy Beacon21.7Above Normal
Stann CreekPomona28.2Above Normal
ToledoSavannah27.8Above Normal
ToledoPunta Gorda27.3Above Normal

The rainfall and temperature forecast for October 2017 are summarized in the maps below with some approximate values that can be expected at some key stations across the country.

Disclaimer

The information is provided with the understanding that The National Meteorological Service makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

Forecaster: Gordon, Ronald

Last Updated: Wed, Oct 18, 2017 | 01:29 PM