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Flood Forecast and Warning

A. DATE and TIME: Friday, July30, 2010    p.m.

B.. SYNOPSIS: CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. RAINFALL ESTIMATES ARE IN THE VICINITY OF 1.25 TO 1.75 INCHES MOST OF WHICH OCCUR IN THE SOUTH SATURDAY MORNING. THEN THIS ACTIVITY TAPERS OFF AS THE PERIOD PROGRESSES INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

 MAXIMUM TWO DAY RAINFALL TOTALS (28th and 29th July)

REGION 7   -    No rainfall information available in this region

REGION 9   -      45.1 mm at Central Farm in the Belize River Watershed.

REGION 11 -     37.5 mm at Punta Gorda in the Rio Grande Watershed. 

NO RAINFALL REPORTS RECEIVED FROM REGION 13

FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY:  CLOUDY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. MOSTLY CLOUDY TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS WILL INCREASE OVER MOST AREAS AS A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHES AND CROSSES THE COUNTRY EARLY SATURDAY.

OUTLOOK:  FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TO SUNDAY MIDDAY IS FOR MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH A FEW SHOWERS OVER MOST AREAS.

REGION 7:   ON THE RIO HONDO AT  san Antonio Village RIVER Levels are RISING SLOWLy and at Douglas Village water level is above normal and steady.  ON THE NEW RIVER AT TOWER HILL and Caledonia Village river level is above normal and steady

Weekend FCST: RIO HONDO CONTINUES TO RISE SLOWLY AND PEAKS ON SUNDAY. NEW RIVER REMAINS ABOVE NORMAL WITH NO SIGNIFICANT INCREASES IN WATER LEVELS.

Monday OUTLOOK: RIO HONDO BEGINS TO FALL AND THE NEW RIVER REMAIN STEADY.

REGION 9: ON THE MACAL AT SAN IGNACIO LEVELS ARE above normal and falling BUT above normal and steady  on THE MOPAN RIVER NEAR BENQUE VIEJO TOWN.. ON THE BELIZE RIVER LEVELS ARE BELOW BRIDGE  NEAR IGUANA CREEK.  Near Banana Bank river levels are above normal AND RISING..  ON THE CROOKED TREE LAGOON LEVELS ARE BELOW THE CAUSEWAY AND STEADY.  RIVER LEVELS NEAR DOUBLE RUN are ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING. SLOWLY.

Weekend FCST: THE MOPAN remains above normal with no appreciable rise. iguana creek not expected to rise. therefore expected to remain below the deck of the bridge.. belize river at banana bank continues to rise on saturday becoming steady on sunday. at double run also on the belize river begins to rise on sunday.

Monday OUTLOOK: mopan shows no major changes. on the belize river banana bank remains steady and double run becomes steady but above normal on monday.

REGION 11:   ON THE SIBUN RIVER LEVELS ARE above normal and RISING AT BOTH  JAGUAR PAW AND GRACIE ROCK.. AT FREETOWN SIBUN  THE LEVEL IS ABOVE NORMAL AND rising. ON THE MULLINS RIVER LEVELS ARE  NORMAL AND STEADY.  THE NORTH STANN CREEK is normal and STEADY NEAR MIDDLESEX and HOPE CREEK. NEAR KENDAL ON THE SITTEE RIVER, LEVELS ARE below THE LOW LEVEL BRIDGE.  THE MOHO RIVER IS  ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING. RIO GRANDE IS ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING SLOWLY.  GOLDEN STREAM AND DEEP RIVER ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND STEADY.

WEekend FCST:  the sibun remain above normal and continues to rise. POSSIBLE FLOOD ALERT FOR SIBUN RIVER. mullins river shows no major changes. north stann creek at middlesex and hope creek rise  during saturday evening/night. kendall on the sittee rises saturday night with moderate to high likelihood of innundation of the causeway during that time. however, this overflow expected to be of short duration. moho river to forecast to become steady. rio grande also expected to become steady then rise on sunday. both golden stream and deep river rise and become steady on sunday.

monday OUTLOOK: sibun becomes steady but remains above normal. north stann creek becomes steady. kendall on the sittee continues to fall.  moho remains steadY. the rio grande, golden stream and deep river all remain steady

REGION 13:  LEVELS ARE ABOVE normal AND STEADY ON THE Sarstoon River. THE TEMASH  Is also ABOVE NORMAL AND steady.   

weekend FCST: LEVELS ON BOTH THE SARSTOON AND TEMASH REMAIN STEADY AND ABOVE NORMAL..

monday OUTLOOK: NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ON THE TEMASH AND SARSTOON.

C. FLOOD WARNING AREA:   NONE                          

D: FLOOD WATCH AREA:       NONE                       

E: FLOOD ALERT AREA:         SIBUN 

Flood Warning – Floods are occurring and may become more severe.

Flood Watch - Conditions are such that the threat of flooding is imminent

Flood Alert - Conditions are such that there is a threat of flooding

F: CURRENT FLOODING SITUATION (see watersheds map below)

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G. DATE and TIME of NEXT UPDATE: Monday August 2nd , 2010 AT 2:00 p.m.  

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