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Flood Forecast and Warning

A. DATE and TIME:  MONDAY, AUGUST 18, 2008  2:00 p.m.

B. SYNOPSIS: MAINLY FAIR AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM WEEKEND RAINFALL

REGION 7   -  0.4 mm (0.02 ins.) which occurred at Towerhill in the New River watershed

REGION 9   -  2.8 mm (0.11 ins.) which occurred at Caracol in the Belize River watershed   

REGION 11 -  5.0 mm (0.20 ins.) which occurred at Punta Gorda in the Rio Grande watershed

NO RAINFALL REPORTS RECEIVED FROM REGION 13

FORECAST:  SHOWERS OR THUNDERSHOWERS WILL BE ISOLATED.

OUTLOOK:  FOR TUES. AFTERNOON THROUGH TO MIDDAY WED. IS FOR CONTINUING FAIR WEATHER WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THE CHANCE OF ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSHOWERS DEVELOPING INLAND AND IN THE NORTH.

REGION 7:  ON THE RIO HONDO AT BLUE CREEK (LA UNION) AND DOUGLAS VILLAGE LEVELS ARE NORMAL AND FALLING.  ON THE NEW RIVER LEVELS ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND AT TOWER HILL AND  CALEDONIA.

TUESDAY FCST:  RIVER LEVELS ON THE RIO HONDO WILL REMAIN AT NORMAL LEVELS NEAR BLUE CREEK VILLAGE AND NEAR DOUGLAS VILLAGE THROUGH TUESDAY.  ON THE NEW RIVER ABOVE NORMAL AND STEADY RIVER LEVELS WILL BE MAINTAINED NEAR TOWER HILL THROUGH TUESDAY. AT CALEDONIA RISING LEVELS WILL BECOME STEADY LATE SUNDAY. NO FLOOD STAGE IS EXPECTED ON THE RIO HONDO NOR THE NEW RIVER.

WEDNESDAY OUTLOOK:  NORMAL AND STEADY RIVER LEVELS ON THE RIO HONDO NEAR BLUE CREEK AND   DOUGLAS VILLAGES.  ON THE NEW RIVER ABOVE NORMAL AND STEADY LEVELS NEAR TOWER HILL AND CALEDONIA VILLAGE.

REGION 9: ON THE MACAL RIVER THE CHALILLO AND MOLLEJON RESERVOIRS ARE ABOVE SPILLWAY AND RECEDING.  RIVER LEVELS ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING NEAR CHAA CREEK AND SAN IGNACIO.  ON THE MOPAN RIVER LEVELS ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING NEAR BENQUE VIEJO TOWN.  NEAR BANANA BANK ON THE BELIZE RIVER LEVELS ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING.  ON THE CROOKED TREE LAGOON  LEVELS ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING.  RIVER LEVELS NEAR MAYPEN AND DOUBLE RUN TO THE COAST (HAULOVER BRIDGE) ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING.

TUESDAY FCST:  MACAL RIVER:  RESERVOIR LEVELS WILL RECEDE SLOWLY YET REMAIN ABOVE SPILLWAY LEVEL AT CHALILLO AND MOLLEJON.  ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS NEAR CHAA CREEK AND SAN IGNACIO WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGH TUESDAY.  NO THREAT TO THE LOW LEVEL BRIDGE IS EXPECTED.  MOPAN RIVER:  ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING LEVELS NEAR BENQUE VIEJO TOWN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.  BELIZE RIVER: ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING LEVELS NEAR BANANA BANK.  ON THE CROOKED TREE LAGOON: ABOVE NORMAL, BELOW CAUSEWAY AND FALLING LEVELS.  NEAR MAYPEN AND DOUBLE RUN TO THE COAST (HAULOVER BRIDGE) ABOVE NORMAL AND STEADY RIVER LEVELS.

WEDNESDAY OUTLOOK: MACAL RIVER: ABOVE SPILLWAY LEVEL AT CHALILLO AND MOLLEJON.   ABOVE NORMAL AND STEADY LEVELS NEAR CHAA CREEK AND SAN IGNACIO.  MOPAN RIVER ABOVE NORMAL AND STEADY RIVER LEVELS EXPECTED NEAR BENQUE VIEJO TOWN.  ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING LEVELS ON THE CROOKED TREE LAGOON.  ON THE BELIZE RIVER: ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING LEVELS NEAR MAYPEN AND DOUBLE RUN  TO THE COAST.

REGION 11:  ON THE SIBUN RIVER LEVELS ARE NORMAL AND STEADY NEAR JAGUAR PAW AND ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING AT GRACIE ROCK AND FREETOWN SIBUN.  ON THE SOUTHERN LAGOON NEAR GALES POINT, LAGOON LEVELS ARE BELOW NORMAL AND RISING.  LEVELS ARE NORMAL AND STEADY ON THE MULLINS RIVER AND SOUTH STANN CREEK.  ON THE NORTH STANN CREEK LEVELS ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND STEADY. NEAR KENDAL ON THE SITTEE RIVER, LEVELS ARE BELOW THE CAUSEWAY AND FALLING.  ON THE GOLDEN STREAM LEVELS ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING.  ON THE RIO GRANDE LEVELS ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING  AND ABOVE NORMAL AND STEADY ON THE  MOHO RIVER.

TUESDAY FCST:  ON THE SIBUN RIVER NORMAL LEVELS WILL PERSIST NEAR JAGUAR PAW AND ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING AT GRACIE ROCK AND FREETOWN SIBUN.  ON THE SOUTHERN LAGOON NEAR GALES POINT NORMAL AND STEADY LEVELS ON THE MULLINS RIVER AND NORTH & SOUTH STANN CREEKS LEVELS WILL RISE TO ABOVE NORMAL AND WILL BECOME STEADY ON TUESDAY.  ON THE SITTEE RIVER NORMAL LEVELS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.  THE CAUSEWAY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE INUNDATED.  ON THE MONKEY, DEEP & MOHO RIVERS, GOLDEN STREAM AND RIO GRANDE ABOVE NORMAL AND STEADY LEVELS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.

WEDNESDAY OUTLOOK : ON THE SIBUN RIVER ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING RIVER LEVELS NEAR JAGUAR PAW, GRACIE ROCK AND FREETOWN SIBUN. SOUTHERN LAGOON NEAR GALES POINT ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING LEVELS.  ON THE MULLINS RIVER AND NORTH & SOUTH STANN CREEKS ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING LEVELS.  ON THE SITTEE RIVER LEVELS WILL REMAIN BELOW CAUSEWAY LEVELS.  ON THE  MONKEY, DEEP & MOHO RIVERS, GOLDEN STREAM AND RIO GRANDE ABOVE NORMAL AND FALLING LEVELS. 

REGION 13:  ON THE TEMASH RIVER LEVELS ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND STEADY AND ON THE SARSTOON RIVER LEVELS ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND STEADY.

TUESDAY FCST:   ABOVE NORMAL AND RISING LEVELS ON THE TEMASH AND THE SARSTOON RIVERS.

WEDNESDAY OUTLOOK:   ABOVE NORMAL AND SLOWLY FALLING LEVELS ON THE TEMASH AND SARSTOON RIVERS. 

C: FLOOD WARNING AREA  NONE

D: FLOOD WATCH AREA:      NONE

E: FLOOD ALERT AREA:        NONE

Flood Warning – Floods are occurring and may become more severe.

Flood Watch - Conditions are such that the threat of flooding is imminent

Flood Alert - Conditions are such that there is a threat of flooding

F: CURRENT FLOODING SITUATION (see watersheds map below)

DAILY RATE CALCULATED USING THE LAST 3 DAYS INFORMATION

NEGATIVE VALUES INDICATE BELOW OR FALLING PROPERTIES

POSITIVE VALUES INDICATE ABOVE OR RISING PROPERTIES

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G. DATE and TIME of next Update:  WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 20, 2008  1:00 p.m.

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