Several agro-meteorological stations across the country are used to produce monthly and seasonal rainfall and temperature forecast. This is done by using the historical data observed at these stations, global and regional climate models, statistical models such as the Climate Predictability Tool (CPT) and Subjective inputs.
Based on these inputs, the Rainfall Forecast for the country for the month of September 2017 is for below normal rainfall over most areas of the country, except over northern Orange Walk District (Tower Hill area) and the southern Cayo (Baldy Beacon area) and Toledo District.
Rainfall amounts that are expected across key districts stations in September 2017 are as follows:
|Region||Station||Rainfall Amount (mm)||Category|
|North||Tower Hill||220-260||ABOVE NORMAL|
|North||Rio Bravo||90-130||BELOW NORMAL|
|Central Inland Areas||Central Farm||100-140||BELOW NORMAL|
|Central Inland Areas||Belmopan||140-180||BELOW NORMAL|
|Central Coastal Areas||Airport||150-190||BELOW NORMAL|
|Mountainous Areas||Baldy Beacon||190-230||NEAR NORMAL|
|South||Punta Gorda||500-580||NEAR NORMAL|
The forecast is for Above Normal Average Temperatures to prevail over Belize and her coastal waters for the month of September 2017.
Average Daily Temperature values expected in September 2017 are as follows:
|District||Station||Mean Daily Temperature (°C)||Category|
|Orange Walk||Tower Hill||28.8||Above Normal|
|Orange Walk||Rio Bravo||27.9||Above Normal|
|Cayo||Central Farm||28.3||Above Normal|
|Cayo||Baldy Beacon||23.1||Above Normal|
|Stann Creek||Pomona||28.5||Above Normal|
|Toledo||Punta Gorda||28.2||Above Normal|
The rainfall and temperature forecast for September 2017 are summarized in the maps below with some approximate values that can be expected at some key stations across the country.
The information is provided with the understanding that The National Meteorological Service makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.
Forecaster: Gordon, Ronald
Last Updated: Sun, Sep 17, 2017 | 08:44 PM
The National Meteorological Service of Belize will continue to be the the national authority which provides meteorological and climate-based products and services in order to protect life and property, contribute to the achievement of social, economic and physical well-being of the people of Belize.