Monthly Rainfall and Temperature Forecast - National Meteorological Service of Belize
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Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, or the Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane Tips
  •  Fill sinks, bathtub and large containers with water as an extra supply for washing and flushing.
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  •  Prepare your car in case of evacuation. Fill your tank and check your tires.
  •  Upon alert, farmers should harvest crops which can be stored, consumed and sold.
 October 2018 |  Print Report

Several agro-meteorological stations across the country are used to  produce monthly and seasonal rainfall and temperature forecast. This is done by using the  historical data observed at these stations,  global and regional climate models,  statistical models such as the Climate Predictability Tool (CPT) and Subjective inputs.  To produce monthly forecast, which are considered subseasonal forecasts, the forecast evolution of intra-seasonal oscillations such as the Madden-Julian Oscillation are paid special attention to.

Based on these inputs, the Rainfall Forecast for the country for the month of  October 2018 is for above normal rainfall over southern and east-central areas and near normal rainfall for northern and west-central areas of the country. Near normal maximum/daytime temperatures are expected while minimum/nighttime temperatures are expected to be slightly warmer than normal.

Rainfall amounts that are expected across key districts stations in October 2018 are as follows:

RegionStationRainfall Amount (mm)Category
NorthLibertad155-175Near Normal
NorthTower Hill170-190Near Normal
NorthRio Bravo185-205Near Normal
Central Inland AreasCentral Farm200-230Near Normal
Central Inland AreasBelmopan235-275slightly above
Central Coastal AreasAirport310-370above normal
Mountainous AreasBaldy Beacon370-430above normal
SouthPomona390-450above normal
SouthSavannah350-410above normal
SouthPunta Gorda410-490above normal

The maps below show approximate rainfall totals that can be expected. The expected maximum and minimum temperatures are also shown. Users are advised that the amounts shown are only an approximation and are therefore cautioned not to focus on the exact value on the maps but instead to expect that the rainfall and temperature should be somewhere in that general range.

Disclaimer

The information is provided with the understanding that The National Meteorological Service makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

Forecaster: Gordon, Ronald

Last Updated: Thu, Sep 27, 2018 | 01:25 PM

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The National Meteorological Service of Belize will continue to be the the national authority which provides meteorological and climate-based products and services in order to protect life and property, contribute to the achievement of social, economic and physical well-being of the people of Belize.